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The experiment this site is, in numbers: what the sky looked like over every finished game, held against the result and the market's closing line. Every rate stands beside its baseline — the same outcome over all the games of that sport — with the games behind it and a 95% band. Nothing here is a claim; a finding is a question to ask again next season.

Counted 2026-10-31T23:45 UTC · fewer than 30 games is "too few games" · skies: games that share a kickoff share a sky, so this is the number of distinct starts behind a row

🏟️ The games and the baselines

The yardsticks every row below is measured against: how often the home side wins, how often the market's favourite wins, how often a game goes over its closing total, how often the favourite covers.

Sport	Games	Home wins	Favourite wins	Over	Favourite covers	Locked
All sports	1424	57% 1301	63% 1241	51% 1294	48% 506	1304
NFL	76	48% 75	60% 75	53% 75	43% 70	75
College football	347	60% 347	72% 274	50% 276	49% 268	276
MLB	67	52% 67	64% 47	52% 50	—	53
NHL	236	56% 236	61% 201	51% 222	—	222
NBA	149	53% 149	63% 146	50% 146	45% 146	149
WNBA	22	73% 22	64% 22	55% 22	59% 22	22
Soccer	527	58% 405	60% 476	51% 503	—	507

the home side won · a draw · the visitors won · the small figure is the games the rate is over

🏠 Who wins

The chart's first question, home-first: with this in the sky, how often did the home side win? The baseline is the home side's rate over every game of the sport. Baseline 57% (1301).

In the sky	the home side won	n	skies
Moon void of course	58%	319	121
Fortune in the home side's houses	59%	179	97
Saturn on the Ascendant	71%	34	30
The home side's ruler essentially stronger	57%	603	271
Moon in the home side's houses (1st or 10th)	59%	236	112
Mars on the Imum Coeli	68%	41	35
Moon on an angle	66%	85	64
Venus on the Descendant	49%	67	55
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	50%	145	55
Mars on an angle	65%	68	55
Sun conjunct Mercury	64%	131	43
Sun square or opposite Mars	64%	135	44

Every row

The Moon

In the sky	the home side won	n	skies
Moon not void	57%	982	359
Moon swift in motion	57%	791	288
Moon waxing	57%	670	248
Moon waning	57%	631	232
Moon's next aspect is a trine or a sextile	58%	546	183
Moon in an angular house	61%	459	211
Moon's last aspect was to Saturn	59%	448	139
Moon applying to a benefic (Venus or Jupiter)	61%	388	128
Moon void of course	58%	319	121
Moon in Cancer or Taurus	59%	313	116
Moon slow in motion	56%	302	116
Full Moon	58%	300	105
Moon in Aries	58%	289	91
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)	53%	285	115
Moon's next aspect is a square or an opposition	58%	264	110
Moon in Cancer	61%	248	83
Last quarter	62%	242	80
Moon in the home side's houses (1st or 10th)	59%	236	112
Moon's last aspect was to Jupiter	53%	236	106
Moon in the visitors' houses (7th or 4th)	63%	223	103
Moon's next aspect is to Jupiter	62%	221	66
Moon in Capricorn or Scorpio	55%	220	94
Moon's next aspect is to Mercury	57%	219	77
Moon's last aspect was to Sun	56%	211	77
Moon's last aspect was to Mercury	59%	195	72
Moon's next aspect is a conjunction	52%	172	66
First quarter	54%	168	65
Moon's next aspect is to Venus	59%	167	62
New Moon	58%	165	59
Within a day of the Full Moon	54%	157	59
Moon in Capricorn	52%	157	56
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	50%	145	55
Waning gibbous	51%	142	60
Moon's next aspect is to Mars	56%	140	60
Moon in the via combusta	61%	133	48
Moon's last aspect was to Venus	56%	124	52
Moon in the late degrees of its sign	57%	123	60
Within a day of the New Moon	60%	121	39
Moon in Libra	59%	120	39
Waxing gibbous	56%	114	40
Waxing crescent	60%	111	46
Moon's next aspect is to Sun	54%	90	39
Moon in Gemini	54%	90	37
Moon's last aspect was to Mars	60%	87	34
Moon in Pisces	59%	71	28
Moon in Sagittarius	58%	71	21
Moon in Taurus	51%	65	33
Moon in Scorpio	60%	63	38
Waning crescent	51%	59	25
Moon in Leo	51%	51	22
Moon in Virgo	53%	38	14
Moon in Aquarius	63%	38	18

The angles

In the sky		the home side won	n	skies
Mercury on an angle		58%	116	84
Venus on an angle		54%	100	76
Sun on an angle		56%	94	72
Mercury on the Descendant		57%	92	66
Moon on an angle		66%	85	64
Mars on an angle		65%	68	55
Venus on the Descendant		49%	67	55
Saturn on an angle		63%	59	47
Sun on the Descendant		57%	58	47
Mars on the Imum Coeli		68%	41	35
Sun on the Midheaven		56%	36	25
Saturn on the Ascendant		71%	34	30
Venus on the Midheaven		64%	33	21
Jupiter on an angle		58%	33	28
Mars on the Descendant	too few games	—	27	20
Moon on the Ascendant	too few games	—	27	23
Saturn on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	25	17
Moon on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	23	16
Mercury on the Midheaven	too few games	—	23	17
Moon on the Descendant	too few games	—	20	14
Jupiter on the Descendant	too few games	—	16	13
Moon on the Midheaven	too few games	—	15	11
Jupiter on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	15	13

Aspects

In the sky	the home side won	n	skies
Mercury square or opposite Mars	57%	1037	384
Sun trine or sextile Jupiter	56%	987	376
Mars trine or sextile Saturn	56%	899	342
Mercury square or opposite Jupiter	57%	767	291
Sun square or opposite Saturn	57%	631	237
Venus square or opposite Mars	57%	605	223
Sun trine or sextile Mars	57%	547	199
Sun conjunct Venus	55%	523	198
Venus trine or sextile Jupiter	57%	387	141
Mercury conjunct Venus	57%	373	138
Jupiter trine or sextile Saturn	58%	314	110
Mars conjunct Jupiter	58%	226	82
Mercury trine or sextile Jupiter	59%	140	42
Sun square or opposite Mars	64%	135	44
Sun conjunct Mercury	64%	131	43

Conditions

In the sky	the home side won	n	skies
Saturn retrograde	57%	1301	480
Venus retrograde	57%	1092	404
Night chart	55%	679	300
Day chart	59%	622	245
Mercury retrograde	59%	361	130

The lords and Fortune

In the sky		the home side won	n	skies
The visitors' ruler in an angular house		59%	739	336
The visitors' ruler essentially stronger		58%	640	292
The home side's ruler essentially stronger		57%	603	271
The visitors' ruler is Mars		54%	373	185
The home side's ruler is Venus		54%	373	185
The home side's ruler is Saturn		56%	262	113
The home side's ruler is Jupiter		60%	248	121
The visitors' ruler is Mercury		60%	248	121
The home side's ruler is Mars		59%	239	128
The visitors' ruler is Venus		59%	239	128
Fortune in the visitors' houses		55%	228	95
Fortune in the home side's houses		59%	179	97
The visitors' ruler is Moon		58%	163	75
The home side's ruler is Mercury		58%	151	89
The visitors' ruler is Jupiter		58%	151	89
The home side's ruler in an angular house		57%	149	109
The visitors' ruler is Sun		53%	99	53
The visitors' ruler is Saturn	too few games	—	28	16
The home side's ruler is Moon	too few games	—	27	15

⭐ The favourite

The market's favourite at the close, and how often it won with this in the sky. A row far below the baseline is a sky under which favourites fell. Baseline 63% (1241).

In the sky	the favourite won	n	skies
Moon void of course	66%	305	116
Mars on an angle	67%	81	63
Saturn on an angle	67%	48	38
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)	60%	204	87
Mercury retrograde	64%	383	131
Sun on the Descendant	53%	51	42
Sun on the Midheaven	73%	37	25
The visitors' ruler is Moon	73%	147	68
Venus on the Descendant	55%	66	54
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	55%	64	32
Venus on an angle	55%	92	74
The home side's ruler is Saturn	70%	240	103

Every row

The Moon

In the sky		the favourite won	n	skies
Moon not void		62%	936	336
Moon waxing		63%	722	253
Moon swift in motion		64%	684	251
Moon's next aspect is a trine or a sextile		62%	571	182
Moon waning		64%	519	199
Moon's last aspect was to Saturn		65%	466	141
Moon in an angular house		64%	438	200
Moon applying to a benefic (Venus or Jupiter)		64%	427	138
Moon slow in motion		62%	332	121
Moon in Cancer or Taurus		67%	306	110
Moon void of course		66%	305	116
Moon's next aspect is a square or an opposition		63%	265	106
Moon's last aspect was to Jupiter		62%	246	108
Last quarter		69%	246	80
Moon in Capricorn or Scorpio		62%	244	100
Moon in Cancer		68%	243	78
Moon's next aspect is to Jupiter		62%	237	69
Moon in the home side's houses (1st or 10th)		62%	226	105
Moon's next aspect is to Mercury		62%	225	75
Full Moon		63%	213	76
Moon in the visitors' houses (7th or 4th)		67%	212	99
Moon in Aries		63%	210	68
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)		60%	204	87
Moon's last aspect was to Mercury		63%	198	72
Moon's next aspect is to Venus		66%	190	69
First quarter		63%	188	69
Moon in Capricorn		63%	175	60
New Moon		62%	168	63
Moon in the via combusta		65%	150	54
Moon's next aspect is to Mars		62%	140	55
Waning gibbous		59%	138	57
Moon's last aspect was to Sun		60%	134	55
Within a day of the New Moon		63%	130	44
Moon in Libra		63%	128	43
Moon's last aspect was to Venus		65%	125	45
Waxing gibbous		59%	125	41
Moon in the late degrees of its sign		65%	124	59
Waxing crescent		62%	121	47
Moon in Gemini		60%	100	40
Moon's next aspect is a conjunction		62%	100	48
Moon's next aspect is to Sun		65%	80	36
Moon in Sagittarius		66%	79	22
Moon's last aspect was to Mars		64%	72	31
Moon in Pisces		61%	72	23
Within a day of the Full Moon		59%	70	32
Moon in Scorpio		59%	69	40
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn		55%	64	32
Moon in Taurus		62%	63	32
Waning crescent		64%	42	19
Moon in Aquarius		61%	41	18
Moon in Leo		61%	38	18
Moon in Virgo	too few games	—	23	10

The angles

In the sky		the favourite won	n	skies
Mercury on an angle		61%	121	84
Mercury on the Descendant		59%	97	66
Venus on an angle		55%	92	74
Sun on an angle		61%	88	67
Mars on an angle		67%	81	63
Moon on an angle		64%	80	57
Venus on the Descendant		55%	66	54
Mars on the Imum Coeli		64%	56	45
Sun on the Descendant		53%	51	42
Saturn on an angle		67%	48	38
Sun on the Midheaven		73%	37	25
Jupiter on an angle	too few games	—	29	23
Saturn on the Ascendant	too few games	—	27	24
Mars on the Descendant	too few games	—	25	18
Venus on the Midheaven	too few games	—	25	20
Moon on the Ascendant	too few games	—	23	18
Mercury on the Midheaven	too few games	—	23	17
Moon on the Descendant	too few games	—	21	14
Saturn on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	21	14
Moon on the Midheaven	too few games	—	19	13
Moon on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	17	12
Jupiter on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	17	12
Jupiter on the Descendant	too few games	—	11	10

Aspects

In the sky	the favourite won	n	skies
Sun trine or sextile Jupiter	63%	1035	382
Mars trine or sextile Saturn	63%	949	348
Mercury square or opposite Mars	63%	949	352
Mercury square or opposite Jupiter	63%	832	299
Venus square or opposite Mars	63%	611	225
Sun conjunct Venus	62%	565	201
Sun square or opposite Saturn	64%	517	203
Sun trine or sextile Mars	64%	424	164
Venus trine or sextile Jupiter	63%	413	143
Mercury conjunct Venus	64%	357	135
Mars conjunct Jupiter	64%	232	81
Jupiter trine or sextile Saturn	66%	207	77
Sun square or opposite Mars	66%	133	41
Sun conjunct Mercury	67%	129	40
Mercury trine or sextile Jupiter	67%	36	11

Conditions

In the sky	the favourite won	n	skies
Saturn retrograde	63%	1241	452
Venus retrograde	64%	1137	407
Night chart	61%	677	282
Day chart	66%	564	226
Mercury retrograde	64%	383	131

The lords and Fortune

In the sky		the favourite won	n	skies
The visitors' ruler in an angular house		64%	722	325
The visitors' ruler essentially stronger		64%	662	283
The home side's ruler essentially stronger		63%	530	246
The visitors' ruler is Mars		60%	389	183
The home side's ruler is Venus		60%	389	183
The home side's ruler is Saturn		70%	240	103
The home side's ruler is Jupiter		65%	219	108
The visitors' ruler is Mercury		65%	219	108
The home side's ruler is Mars		59%	197	118
The visitors' ruler is Venus		59%	197	118
Fortune in the home side's houses		65%	175	96
The home side's ruler is Mercury		63%	167	91
The visitors' ruler is Jupiter		63%	167	91
Fortune in the visitors' houses		62%	157	71
The visitors' ruler is Moon		73%	147	68
The home side's ruler in an angular house		62%	135	96
The visitors' ruler is Sun		67%	93	49
The visitors' ruler is Saturn	too few games	—	29	16
The home side's ruler is Moon	too few games	—	28	15

🎲 Upsets

347 of 1133 decided games with a favourite went to the underdog. For each feature: in what share of the upsets it was present, in what share of the favourite's wins, and the ratio of the two — above 1, the sky leaned toward the upset.

In the sky	of the upsets	of the favourite's wins	lift	n
Sun on the Descendant	6%	3%	1.76	48
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	7%	4%	1.62	60
Venus on the Descendant	7%	5%	1.57	61
Venus on an angle	10%	6%	1.51	85
Moon's last aspect was to Sun	14%	10%	1.42	130
The home side's ruler is Mars	20%	15%	1.35	185
The visitors' ruler is Venus	20%	15%	1.35	185
Moon in Leo	4%	3%	1.28	36
Moon in Taurus	6%	5%	1.28	61
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)	20%	16%	1.26	190
Waning gibbous	13%	10%	1.24	127
Waxing gibbous	12%	9%	1.22	114
… and the skies under which the favourite held:
Mars on an angle	3%	7%	0.42	64
Moon's next aspect is to Venus	10%	16%	0.65	162
The visitors' ruler is Moon	9%	14%	0.68	139
The visitors' ruler is Jupiter	10%	13%	0.71	138
The home side's ruler is Mercury	10%	13%	0.71	138
The home side's ruler is Saturn	16%	22%	0.74	224
Last quarter	16%	22%	0.76	226
Sun conjunct Mercury	9%	11%	0.79	116

➕ Over or under

How often the two sides together beat the market's closing total with this in the sky. Pushes are left out. Baseline 51% (1294).

In the sky	over the closing total	n	skies
Moon void of course	53%	335	126
Mars on an angle	46%	81	63
Saturn on an angle	61%	49	39
Within a day of the Full Moon	47%	70	32
Jupiter on an angle	47%	30	24
Venus trine or sextile Jupiter	47%	412	143
Moon in Aquarius	61%	41	18
Mars on the Imum Coeli	41%	56	45
Moon in Pisces	60%	72	23
Moon in Virgo	59%	37	14
Moon in Scorpio	59%	69	40
The home side's ruler in an angular house	59%	147	103

Every row

The Moon

In the sky	over the closing total	n	skies
Moon not void	50%	959	341
Moon swift in motion	49%	735	266
Moon waxing	51%	720	253
Moon's next aspect is a trine or a sextile	51%	579	183
Moon waning	50%	574	214
Moon's last aspect was to Saturn	48%	474	142
Moon in an angular house	51%	449	205
Moon applying to a benefic (Venus or Jupiter)	48%	441	140
Moon void of course	53%	335	126
Moon slow in motion	53%	331	121
Moon in Cancer or Taurus	49%	319	114
Moon's next aspect is a square or an opposition	49%	281	110
Moon's last aspect was to Jupiter	57%	261	113
Last quarter	46%	254	82
Moon in Cancer	47%	248	80
Moon's next aspect is to Jupiter	48%	244	70
Moon in Capricorn or Scorpio	53%	243	100
Moon in the home side's houses (1st or 10th)	53%	234	108
Moon's next aspect is to Mercury	56%	227	76
Full Moon	48%	217	77
Moon in the visitors' houses (7th or 4th)	48%	215	101
Moon in Aries	45%	214	69
Moon's last aspect was to Mercury	48%	214	77
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)	47%	208	88
Moon's next aspect is to Venus	47%	197	70
First quarter	51%	187	69
New Moon	49%	182	67
Moon in Capricorn	50%	174	60
Moon in the via combusta	52%	149	54
Waning gibbous	53%	147	58
Moon's next aspect is to Mars	49%	140	56
Within a day of the New Moon	47%	135	46
Moon in the late degrees of its sign	51%	134	63
Moon's last aspect was to Sun	50%	134	55
Moon in Libra	47%	133	45
Moon's last aspect was to Venus	59%	128	47
Waxing gibbous	55%	125	41
Waxing crescent	56%	121	47
Moon in Gemini	52%	104	39
Moon's next aspect is a conjunction	46%	99	48
Moon's next aspect is to Sun	55%	83	37
Moon's last aspect was to Mars	49%	82	32
Moon in Sagittarius	53%	79	22
Moon in Pisces	60%	72	23
Moon in Taurus	56%	71	34
Within a day of the Full Moon	47%	70	32
Moon in Scorpio	59%	69	40
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	44%	68	32
Waning crescent	59%	61	26
Moon in Leo	56%	52	23
Moon in Aquarius	61%	41	18
Moon in Virgo	59%	37	14

The angles

In the sky		over the closing total	n	skies
Mercury on an angle		50%	123	85
Mercury on the Descendant		54%	100	68
Venus on an angle		58%	97	76
Sun on an angle		52%	94	71
Moon on an angle		51%	84	60
Mars on an angle		46%	81	63
Venus on the Descendant		57%	72	57
Sun on the Descendant		54%	57	46
Mars on the Imum Coeli		41%	56	45
Saturn on an angle		61%	49	39
Sun on the Midheaven		49%	37	25
Jupiter on an angle		47%	30	24
Saturn on the Ascendant	too few games	—	28	25
Mars on the Descendant	too few games	—	25	18
Moon on the Ascendant	too few games	—	24	19
Venus on the Midheaven	too few games	—	24	19
Mercury on the Midheaven	too few games	—	23	17
Moon on the Descendant	too few games	—	21	14
Saturn on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	21	14
Moon on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	20	14
Moon on the Midheaven	too few games	—	19	13
Jupiter on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	17	12
Jupiter on the Descendant	too few games	—	12	11

Aspects

In the sky	over the closing total	n	skies
Sun trine or sextile Jupiter	51%	1075	394
Mercury square or opposite Mars	50%	1003	367
Mars trine or sextile Saturn	51%	980	360
Mercury square or opposite Jupiter	51%	830	299
Venus square or opposite Mars	51%	652	237
Sun square or opposite Saturn	52%	572	218
Sun conjunct Venus	51%	563	201
Sun trine or sextile Mars	51%	479	179
Venus trine or sextile Jupiter	47%	412	143
Mercury conjunct Venus	50%	400	148
Mars conjunct Jupiter	50%	232	81
Jupiter trine or sextile Saturn	50%	229	81
Sun square or opposite Mars	47%	133	41
Sun conjunct Mercury	47%	129	40
Mercury trine or sextile Jupiter	51%	41	12

Conditions

In the sky	over the closing total	n	skies
Saturn retrograde	51%	1294	467
Venus retrograde	51%	1172	420
Night chart	53%	721	295
Day chart	48%	573	234
Mercury retrograde	48%	382	131

The lords and Fortune

In the sky		over the closing total	n	skies
The visitors' ruler in an angular house		52%	761	335
The visitors' ruler essentially stronger		51%	688	294
The home side's ruler essentially stronger		51%	556	252
The visitors' ruler is Mars		53%	404	190
The home side's ruler is Venus		53%	404	190
The home side's ruler is Saturn		50%	241	106
The home side's ruler is Jupiter		46%	223	110
The visitors' ruler is Mercury		46%	223	110
The home side's ruler is Mars		50%	220	122
The visitors' ruler is Venus		50%	220	122
Fortune in the home side's houses		55%	192	102
The home side's ruler is Mercury		53%	177	93
The visitors' ruler is Jupiter		53%	177	93
Fortune in the visitors' houses		46%	164	75
The visitors' ruler is Moon		54%	148	71
The home side's ruler in an angular house		59%	147	103
The visitors' ruler is Sun		44%	93	49
The visitors' ruler is Saturn	too few games	—	29	16
The home side's ruler is Moon	too few games	—	28	15

🌔 The Moon's phase and the total

The lunation in eighths, and how often the game went over the closing total in each — the oldest claim in the folklore of totals, tested. Baseline 51%.

49%New Moon182
56%Waxing crescent121
51%First quarter187
55%Waxing gibbous125
48%Full Moon217
53%Waning gibbous147
46%Last quarter254
59%Waning crescent61

📏 The spread

In the sports whose market is the spread: how often the favourite covered it with this in the sky. Baseline 48% (506).

In the sky	the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
Moon void of course	43%	138	62
Mars on an angle	64%	33	28
Saturn on an angle	48%	31	25
Sun on the Descendant	30%	30	28
The home side's ruler in an angular house	30%	43	34
Moon's last aspect was to Venus	65%	40	22
Sun conjunct Mercury	64%	44	16
Moon's next aspect is to Venus	63%	67	28
Sun square or opposite Mars	62%	45	17
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn	34%	38	20
Within a day of the New Moon	35%	63	23
Moon in Libra	36%	64	24

Every row

The Moon

In the sky		the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
Moon not void		49%	368	159
Moon swift in motion		50%	296	134
Moon waxing		47%	290	115
Moon's next aspect is a trine or a sextile		48%	223	84
Moon waning		49%	216	106
Moon's last aspect was to Saturn		47%	207	70
Moon in an angular house		49%	176	100
Moon applying to a benefic (Venus or Jupiter)		52%	154	65
Moon void of course		43%	138	62
Moon in Cancer or Taurus		53%	133	58
Moon slow in motion		42%	114	47
Moon in Cancer		54%	112	43
Last quarter		55%	104	42
Moon in Capricorn or Scorpio		45%	103	40
Moon in Aries		48%	102	39
Moon applying to a malefic (Mars or Saturn)		44%	101	46
Moon's next aspect is a square or an opposition		54%	99	54
Full Moon		51%	98	40
Moon's next aspect is to Mercury		51%	95	39
Moon in the visitors' houses (7th or 4th)		50%	92	51
New Moon		39%	89	36
Moon's next aspect is to Jupiter		44%	87	37
Moon in the home side's houses (1st or 10th)		49%	84	49
Moon's last aspect was to Jupiter		47%	81	44
First quarter		41%	81	28
Moon in Capricorn		42%	79	26
Moon's last aspect was to Mercury		52%	77	37
Moon's last aspect was to Sun		39%	70	31
Moon in the via combusta		42%	69	24
Moon's next aspect is to Venus		63%	67	28
Moon in Libra		36%	64	24
Within a day of the New Moon		35%	63	23
Moon's next aspect is to Mars		49%	63	26
Moon's next aspect is a conjunction		48%	46	21
Waning gibbous		47%	45	25
Waxing gibbous		55%	42	22
Moon in the late degrees of its sign		50%	40	27
Moon's last aspect was to Venus		65%	40	22
Moon's next aspect is to Saturn		34%	38	20
Moon's last aspect was to Mars		42%	31	17
Within a day of the Full Moon	too few games	—	29	16
Moon in Gemini	too few games	—	28	17
Waxing crescent	too few games	—	27	15
Moon in Scorpio	too few games	—	24	14
Moon in Taurus	too few games	—	21	15
Moon in Virgo	too few games	—	20	10
Waning crescent	too few games	—	20	13
Moon in Pisces	too few games	—	19	10
Moon's next aspect is to Sun	too few games	—	18	9
Moon in Sagittarius	too few games	—	17	8
Moon in Leo	too few games	—	12	9

The angles

In the sky		the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
Sun on an angle		40%	55	47
Mercury on an angle		41%	46	42
Venus on an angle		45%	44	37
Mercury on the Descendant		39%	38	34
Mars on an angle		64%	33	28
Saturn on an angle		48%	31	25
Sun on the Descendant		30%	30	28
Moon on an angle	too few games	—	28	21
Sun on the Midheaven	too few games	—	25	19
Venus on the Descendant	too few games	—	24	22
Venus on the Midheaven	too few games	—	20	15
Saturn on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	18	12
Mars on the Imum Coeli	too few games	—	17	16
Mars on the Descendant	too few games	—	16	12
Saturn on the Ascendant	too few games	—	13	13

Aspects

In the sky		the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
Sun trine or sextile Jupiter		46%	436	190
Mercury square or opposite Mars		48%	400	179
Mars trine or sextile Saturn		46%	396	172
Mercury square or opposite Jupiter		51%	310	135
Venus square or opposite Mars		43%	272	114
Sun conjunct Venus		49%	230	98
Sun square or opposite Saturn		44%	224	103
Sun trine or sextile Mars		43%	203	92
Mercury conjunct Venus		43%	182	80
Venus trine or sextile Jupiter		53%	170	72
Jupiter trine or sextile Saturn		47%	93	42
Mars conjunct Jupiter		58%	83	39
Sun square or opposite Mars		62%	45	17
Sun conjunct Mercury		64%	44	16
Mercury trine or sextile Jupiter	too few games	—	16	7

Conditions

In the sky	the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
Saturn retrograde	48%	506	221
Venus retrograde	48%	477	203
Day chart	49%	291	118
Night chart	45%	215	127
Mercury retrograde	55%	153	64

The lords and Fortune

In the sky	the favourite covered the spread	n	skies
The visitors' ruler in an angular house	48%	275	162
The home side's ruler essentially stronger	45%	250	129
The visitors' ruler essentially stronger	50%	228	128
The visitors' ruler is Mars	44%	136	81
The home side's ruler is Venus	44%	136	81
The home side's ruler is Saturn	55%	126	56
The home side's ruler is Jupiter	50%	112	54
The visitors' ruler is Mercury	50%	112	54
The home side's ruler is Mars	38%	99	62
The visitors' ruler is Venus	38%	99	62
Fortune in the home side's houses	44%	87	47
The visitors' ruler is Moon	54%	80	43
Fortune in the visitors' houses	43%	65	37
The visitors' ruler is Sun	57%	46	22
The home side's ruler in an angular house	30%	43	34
The home side's ruler is Mercury	52%	31	27
The visitors' ruler is Jupiter	52%	31	27

☽ The Moon's wheel

The home side's win rate by the Moon's sign: a sign's bar stands out of the ring where the rate is above the baseline and sinks into it where below; a hollow mark is a sign with too few games. Baseline 57%.

Aries	58%	289
Taurus	51%	65
Gemini	54%	90
Cancer	61%	248
Leo	51%	51
Virgo	53%	38
Libra	59%	120
Scorpio	60%	63
Sagittarius	58%	71
Capricorn	52%	157
Aquarius	63%	38
Pisces	59%	71

📐 How it is counted

A game counts once it is final and has a chart cast for its listed start; the chart is read as the site reads every chart — Regiomontanus houses, the home side's house the 1st.
The market is the closing line: the newest odds at or before the start. The favourite is the spread's side where the market is the spread (NFL, college football, NBA, WNBA) and the shorter moneyline elsewhere. A draw is neither a win nor an upset.
A planet is on an angle within 3°. Aspects among the planets use the traditional orbs (the moiety of the two planets' orbs); the Moon's next and last aspects are the exact ones, applying within its sign — void of course is a Moon that makes no more aspect before it leaves its sign.
Swift is faster than 13°11' a day, slow is under 12°30'; the late degrees are the last three; the via combusta is 15° Libra to 15° Scorpio; the phases are eighths of the lunation; a day of the Full or New Moon is 12°.
The band is the 95% Wilson interval. Games that share a kickoff share a sky, so n overstates the evidence: the distinct skies are shown beside it. With this many rows, some will stand away from the baseline by chance alone — a row is a hypothesis to pre-register for next season, not a result.
The questions are the tradition's — Lilly's and Frawley's horary rules for contests, and the event-chart practice of the sports astrologers; the answers are the ledger's, whatever they say.

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🏟️ The games and the baselines

🏠 Who wins

The Moon

The angles

Aspects

Conditions

The lords and Fortune

⭐ The favourite

The Moon

The angles

Aspects

Conditions

The lords and Fortune

🎲 Upsets

➕ Over or under

The Moon

The angles

Aspects

Conditions

The lords and Fortune

🌔 The Moon's phase and the total

📏 The spread

The Moon

The angles

Aspects

Conditions

The lords and Fortune

☽ The Moon's wheel

📐 How it is counted

🔬 The Lab

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